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U.S. Cattle & Hogs Production Update – Nov ’20

  • November 19, 2020
  • by Belinda Przybylski
Executive Summary U.S. cattle & hog production figures provided by the USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Oct ’20. Highlights from the updated report include:
  • Oct ’20 U.S. commercial red meat production increased 2.5% on a YOY basis, reaching a record high seasonal level.
  • U.S. pork production increased 1.7% on a YOY basis throughout Oct ’20, reaching a record high seasonal level, as a 2.1% increase in average weights per head more than offset a 0.3% decline in the total number of hogs slaughtered.
  • U.S. beef production increased 3.4% on a YOY basis throughout Oct ’20, reaching a record high seasonal level. The total number of cattle slaughter increased 0.9% YOY throughout the month while average weights per head increased 1.8%.
Additional Report Details Total Red Meat – Production Remains at a Record High Seasonal Level, Finishes up 2.5% YOY According to the USDA, Oct ’20 U.S. commercial red meat increased to a seven month high level while finishing 2.5% higher on a YOY basis when normalizing for slaughter days, reaching a record high seasonal level. The YOY increase in total red meat production was the fifth experienced in a row. Total red meat production had reached a 14 year low level throughout the month of April prior to rebounding throughout the past several months of data. The MOM increase in total red meat production of 1.5% was a contraseasonal move when compared to the ten year average September – October seasonal decline of 0.2%. ’18-’19 annual red meat production increased 2.2% on a YOY basis, finishing at a record high level, while ’19-’20 annual red meat production increased by an additional 1.5%. Total 12-month rolling average red meat production remained above trendline for the 38th consecutive month throughout Oct ’20, although the most recent deviation from trendline remained significantly below the record high level experienced throughout Mar ’20. Pork – Production Reaches a Record High Seasonal Level, Finishes up 1.7% YOY Oct ’20 U.S. pork production increased to a seven month high level while finishing 1.7% higher on a YOY basis when normalizing for slaughter days, reaching a record high seasonal level. The YOY increase in pork production was the fourth experienced throughout the past five months. The Oct ’20 total number of hogs slaughter declined 0.3% YOY throughout the month however the reduction in slaughter rates was more than offset by a 2.1% YOY increase in average weights per head. The MOM increase in pork production of 4.4% was greater than the ten year average September – October seasonal increase of 2.2%. ’18-’19 annual pork production increased 3.9% on a YOY basis, finishing at a record high level, while ’19-’20 annual pork production increased by an additional 3.3%. Beef – Production Reaches a Record High Seasonal Level, Finishes up 3.4% YOY Oct ’20 U.S. beef production declined seasonally from the previous month but remained 3.4% higher on a YOY basis when normalizing for slaughter days, reaching a record high seasonal level. The YOY increase in beef production was the fourth experienced in a row. The Oct ’20 total number of cattle slaughter increased 0.9% YOY throughout the month while average weights per head finished 1.8% higher YOY. The MOM decline in beef production of 1.5% was slightly smaller than the ten year average September – October seasonal decline of 2.3%. ’18-’19 annual beef production increased 0.6% on a YOY basis, finishing at a 16 year high level, however ’19-’20 annual beef production declined 0.2% YOY.  
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