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March ’16 USDA Planting Intentions Acreage Report

  • March 31, 2016
  • by wbabler
Potential Supply and Demand Estimates - Mar 16 Corn – Bearish o The acreage projection of 93.6 million acres planted was well above the 90 million acres average estimate and would be the highest corn acreage since 2013. o Small grains acreage (sorghum, barley, oats) moved back into corn after taking acres in 2015. o Total principal acreage was mainly higher across the corn belt and Missouri but lower outside of that region. o Assuming normal weather, domestic carry out is expected to expand even with growth in demand to well over 2 billion bushels or the highest since 1988. Soybeans – Neutral o The acreage projection of 82.2 million acres planted was below the 83.0 million acre average estimate and near the 82.7 million planted last year. o Similar to corn, acreage was flat to higher in Nebraska, Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana but lower outside of the corn-belt region. o Carryout both domestically and globally will be projected to build again on normal weather and growing conditions with US carryout nearing 600 million or the highest ever recorded. Wheat – Bullish o The acreage projection of 49.6 million acres planted was slightly below the 51.5 million acres average estimate and the 54.6 million planted last year. o Acreage for wheat was lower across nearly the entire country hitting record lows in South Dakota for durum wheat. o Carryout domestically and globally is expected to be near unchanged with average weather after a 3 year build. US carryout at 960 million bushels would still be near the highest since 1988. Click below for a downloadable pdf of the report. March ’16 USDA Planting Intentions Acreage Report
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