Skip to content
800-884-8290

|

Login
  • About Us
  • Services
    • Strategic Advisory
    • Margin Management
    • Proprietary Research
    • Brokerage & Insurance
  • Research
    • Dairy
    • Livestock
    • Grain & Oilseeds
    • Ethanol & Biodiesel
  • Account
  • Quotes
  • Contact Us

U.S. Commercial Disappearance Update – Jul ’15

  • July 29, 2015
  • by wbabler
All Milk – YOY Disappearance Increases on Skim-Solids and Milk-Fat Bases According to USDA, May ’15 U.S. commercial disappearance for milk used in all products increased YOY on both a milk-fat and skim-solids basis, finishing up 1.2% and 0.6%, respectively. The monthly YOY increase in commercial disappearance on a milk-fat basis was the fifth experienced in the past six months while commercial disappearance increased for the sixth consecutive month on a skim-solids basis. Domestic demand continued to outpace international demand, finishing up 3.1% YOY on a milk-fat basis and 1.7% YOY on a skim-solids basis. ’14-’15 YTD commercial disappearance for milk used in all products is up 0.6% YOY on a milk-fat basis and 1.6% YOY on a skim-solids basis through the first eight months of the production season, with domestic demand up 3.2% on a milk-fat basis and 2.9% on a skim-solids basis over the same period. Monthly US All Milk Commercial Disappearance - July Monthly US All Milk Commercial Disappearance2 - July Butter – YOY Disappearance Remains Lower on Continued Weak Exports May ’15 U.S. butter commercial disappearance increased 14.0% MOM on a daily average basis but remained lower YOY, finishing 3.8% below the previous year. The monthly YOY decline was the eighth experienced in the last ten months. Domestic butter demand remained fairly strong, increasing by 2.1% YOY however international demand continued to struggle, finishing down 79.4% YOY. U.S. butterfat exports have declined YOY for 13 consecutive months as U.S. butter prices have traded at a premium to international prices and the USD has appreciated vs. rival currencies. ’14-’15 YTD U.S. butter commercial disappearance is down 9.4% YOY through the first eight months of the production season, with domestic demand down 1.2% and international demand down 77.9% over the period. Monthly US Butter Commercial Disappearance - July Cheese – Disappearance Remains Strong, Reaches New May Record High May ’15 U.S. cheese commercial disappearance increased YOY for the fourth consecutive month, finishing 2.8% higher than the previous year and setting a new record high for the month of May. Other-than-American cheese disappearance was particularly strong, increasing by 6.5% YOY, while American cheese disappearance declined by 2.8% YOY. Domestic cheese demand remained higher on a YOY basis, increasing 3.6%, while export volumes declined for the eighth consecutive month on a YOY basis, falling 7.6%. ’14-’15 YTD U.S. cheese commercial disappearance is up 1.9% YOY through the first eight months of the production season. Monthly US Cheese Commercial Disappearance - July NFDM/SMP – YOY Disappearance Declines for First Time in Six Months on Weak Domestic Demand May ’15 U.S. NFDM/SMP commercial disappearance declined YOY for the first time in six months, finishing 16.0% lower than the previous year. U.S. NFDM/SMP domestic commercial disappearance declined YOY for the first time in ten months, finishing 36.4% below the record high May disappearance experienced last year, while NFDM/SMP exports increased slightly, finishing 0.4% higher than a year ago. Despite the YOY decline, ’14-’15 YTD U.S. NFDM/SMP commercial disappearance remains up 6.0% YOY through the first eight months of the production season. Monthly US NFDM-SMP Commercial Disappearance - July Fluid Milk Sales – YOY Sales Continue to Decline May ’15 U.S. fluid milk sales of 4.04 billion pounds continued to decline on a YOY basis, falling 3.7%. Monthly fluid milk sales have declined YOY for 17 consecutive months at an average rate of 2.8% over the period. YOY declines in fluid milk sales are on top of historically weak demand last production season. ’13-’14 annual fluid milk sales declined 2.4% YOY, which was the largest annual YOY decline on record. ’14-’15 YTD fluid milk sales are down 2.8% YOY through the first eight months of the production season. Monthly US Fluid Milk Sales - July See the table below for a summary of key May ’15 U.S. dairy commercial disappearance figures in addition to the May ’15 U.S. fluid milk sales figure. US Commercial Disappearance MOM percentage change - July
Dairy
Ethanol
Livestock
Grain

Recent Dairy Research

  • Food Service Sales Update – Mar ’24
  • Food Service Sales Update – Dec ’22
  • Global Dairy Trade Update 11-15-22
  • Dairy Products Production – Jul ’29
  • USDA Semi-Annual EU Dairy Production Report
Atten Babler Risk Management LLC
11406 US Route 20 W
Galena, IL 61036
800-884-8290
Atten Babler Risk Management LLC use sources that they believe to be reliable, but they cannot warrant the accuracy of any of the data included in this site. Opinions and market data are subject to change at any time. Unless otherwise stated the information contained herein is meant for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation to enter into any transaction.
© Copyright 2025 Atten Babler Risk Management LLC