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U.S. Oil Rig Count Update – 4/7/21

  • April 8, 2021
  • by Belinda Przybylski

According to Baker Hughes, U.S. oil rig counts rebounded to an 11 month high level during the week ending Apr 2nd but remained significantly lower on a YOY basis. Apr 2nd week ending oil rig counts increased 4.0% from the previous week but remained 40.0% lower on a YOY basis and 62.0% below the three and a half year high levels experienced during November of 2018. Oil rig counts have increased over 25 of the past 28 weeks through the week ending Apr 2nd. Oil rig counts had declined over 24 of 27 weeks through mid-September.

Oil rig counts have declined in response to lower WTI crude oil prices, which rebounded to a 28 month high level during early Mar ’21 but remained 19% below the Oct ’18 highs during the week ending Apr 2nd. Crude oil production volumes have rebounded from the three year low levels associated with deep freeze related slowdowns but remained 17% below the Mar ’20 record high levels during the week ending Apr 2nd. Oil production per rig remained historically high, finishing above recently experienced nine month low levels. Crude oil production is expected to continue to slow throughout coming months according to drilling productivity estimates compiled throughout areas accounting for 95% of recent production gains.

Oil Rig Counts Peaked in Late 2014, Prior to Declining Sharply in Early 2015

Oil Rig Counts Followed Crude Oil Prices Lower Prior to Rebounding Throughout 2017-2018

Apr 2nd Oil Rig Counts Increased 4.0% Week-Over-Week but Remained 40.0% Lower YOY

Oil Rigs Have Increased Over 25 of the Past 28 Weeks Through the Week Ending Apr 2nd

Horizontal Rigs Have Accounted for Over 98% of the Rebound in Total Rigs Since Mid-August

Apr 2nd Crude Oil Production Remained 17% Below the Mar ’20 Record High Levels

Apr 2nd Crude Oil Production per Rig Remained Above Recent Nine Month Lows

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Atten Babler Risk Management LLC
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